AL Pythagorean report - week 2
The second week of the season featured a much better performance by the Red Sox than the first, with fairly consistent offense and several very well pitched games. The bullpen was outstanding as well.
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck | Boston | 6.17 | (2) | 2.33 | (1) | 0.856 | (1) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | Seattle | 5 | (5) | 2.83 | (2) | 0.739 | (2) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | Minnesota | 5.5 | (4) | 3.33 | (4) | 0.714 | (3) | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | Toronto | 5 | (5) | 3.14 | (3) | 0.7 | (4) | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | Baltimore | 7 | (1) | 5 | (7) | 0.649 | (5) | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | Anaheim | 6.17 | (2) | 5 | (7) | 0.595 | (6) | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | Chicago | 4.17 | (9) | 3.83 | (5) | 0.538 | (7) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | Detroit | 5 | (5) | 5.17 | (10) | 0.485 | (8) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | Cleveland | 3.5 | (12) | 3.83 | (5) | 0.458 | (9) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | Texas | 4.57 | (8) | 6 | (11) | 0.378 | (10) | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | Oakland | 3.33 | (13) | 5 | (7) | 0.323 | (11) | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | Tampa Bay | 3.67 | (10) | 6.33 | (12) | 0.269 | (12) | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | New York | 3.67 | (10) | 6.83 | (14) | 0.242 | (13) | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | Kansas City | 2.17 | (14) | 6.33 | (12) | 0.123 | (14) | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | |
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So far, the Toronto Blue Jays have been the best team in the AL in terms of outscoring their opponents. Kansas City and New York have come by their records the old-fashioned way - they've earned them...
| R/G | (rank) | RA/G | (rank) | Pythagorean | (rank) | W | L | W | L | Luck | Toronto | 5.54 | (3) | 3.77 | (2) | 0.669 | (1) | 9 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -1 | Detroit | 5.83 | (2) | 4.58 | (8) | 0.609 | (2) | 7 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -2 | Minnesota | 4.75 | (8) | 3.75 | (1) | 0.606 | (3) | 7 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | Boston | 5.25 | (4) | 4.25 | (6) | 0.595 | (4) | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | Seattle | 5.08 | (6) | 4.17 | (4) | 0.59 | (5) | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -1 | Baltimore | 5.92 | (1) | 4.92 | (10) | 0.584 | (6) | 7 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | Anaheim | 5.17 | (5) | 4.83 | (9) | 0.53 | (7) | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | Chicago | 4.17 | (10) | 4 | (3) | 0.519 | (8) | 6 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | Cleveland | 3.92 | (12) | 4.42 | (7) | 0.445 | (9) | 5 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 0 | Oakland | 3.67 | (13) | 4.17 | (4) | 0.442 | (10) | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | Texas | 4.85 | (7) | 5.77 | (12) | 0.421 | (11) | 5 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 1 | Tampa Bay | 4.17 | (10) | 5.33 | (11) | 0.389 | (12) | 5 | 7 | 4 | 8 | -1 | New York | 4.42 | (9) | 6.42 | (14) | 0.335 | (13) | 4 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 0 | Kansas City | 3.5 | (14) | 5.92 | (13) | 0.277 | (14) | 3 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 1 | |
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Projections, based on what's happened so far:
| Minnesota | 108 | 54 |
| Baltimore | 108 | 54 |
| Chicago | 108 | 54 |
| Toronto | 100 | 62 |
| Boston | 95 | 67 |
This isn't the top 5 Pythagorean winning percentage teams, but the top 5 final records assuming that everyone plays the remainder of their games at the Pythagorean winning percentage that they've exhibited so far.
| Toronto | 108 | 54 |
| Minnesota | 99 | 63 |
| Detroit | 96 | 66 |
| Boston | 96 | 66 |
| Baltimore | 96 | 66 |
It should go without saying (but I'll say it anyway) that we're dealing with ridiculously small sample sizes here, as well as unbalanced competition...
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